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Deal Scout · Opportunity #3
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MARGINAL · 12.1% MARGIN $500K–$1M project

#3 · 0 Carroll St, Wake Forest, NC 27587

0.43-ac GR3 lot, city water+sewer on site, downtown Wake Forest | MLS 10128730
List price$120,000 (270+ days on market — seller motivation likely high)
Acreage0.43 acres (18,731 SF)
MLS10128730
ZoningGR3 (3 units/acre; 10,000 SF min lot — this lot is 18,731 SF, passes)
UtilitiesCity water AND public sewer on site (confirmed per listing)
Location~3 miles Joyner Park; near downtown Wake Forest; partially cleared, few trees
StrategyBuild-own: custom 2,600 SF home; or investor build-to-sell at $120K (marginal)
Out-of-pocket cash$166,458 (equity + closings + carry)
Financed$425,205 construction loan (~75% of project cost)
Modeled1 × 2,600 SF new construction at $280/SF ARV; 9-month build; public utilities
Project cost
$589K
Gross revenue
$728,000
Net profit
+$87,777
Margin
12.1%
Max offer (20%)
$63,310
Pro Forma
LineAmount
Gross revenue — 2,600 SF × $280/SF (Wake Forest new const. median ~$284/SF)$728,000
Land acquisition + closing (~2%)($122,400)
Construction — builder cost (2,600 SF × $111 builder grade)($288,600)
Home On builder margin (20% intro rate; standard 30%)($72,150)
Site development / infrastructure, public utilities (incl. 20% margin)($37,500)
Soft costs (5% of const., at cost) + contingency (10% of const.+site, AT COST — typically returned if unused)($46,290)
Construction loan closing + carry (10% APR on draws, 9-month build)($22,323)
Selling costs (~7%) — paid at sale closing, not out-of-pocket($50,960)
NET PROFIT TO INVESTOR~$87,777 · 12.1% margin · 52.7% cash-on-cash

ARV support: Wake Forest new construction median list price $709K (RaleighRealty 2026, 217 homes); at 2,500 SF avg = ~$284/SF. Using $280/SF conservative for 2,600 SF = $728K. Kinsley by McKinley Homes (nearby, city water+sewer) townhomes from $315K–$434K ($209/SF). MAO for 20% investor margin = $63,310 vs. $120K list — deal needs a big discount for investor 20%. At $80K purchase, investor nets ~$116K (16% margin). Best use case: build-own at ~$167K out-of-pocket for a custom 2,600 SF home near downtown Wake Forest.

Diligence Gates
GO: City water and sewer confirmed on-site; GR3 zoning supports 1 custom SFH; no HOA; near-downtown Wake Forest demand. VERIFY: Confirm lot dimensions/setbacks support 2,600 SF footprint; check for any deed restrictions in county records; verify $280+/SF ARV with Kinsley and nearby new const. sold comps; confirm seller motivation (270 days). STOP: Seller firm at $120K and unwilling to negotiate; floodplain or wetlands on lot; deed restrictions prohibiting new construction.
Verdict

Best positioned as a build-own lead, not an investor flip. At $120K ask, the investor nets 12.1% ($87,777) — below our 20% bar. MAO for 20% margin is ~$63K; at $80K offer (plausible after 270 DOM) investor nets ~16%. For a build-own buyer: spend $167K out-of-pocket, get a brand-new 2,600 SF custom home in downtown Wake Forest with city sewer — saving $150K+ vs. buying finished new construction at comparable size. Offer $70K–$85K and reference the 270-day DOM in negotiations.

Deal Scout · 2026-09-24 Home On LLC · NC GC L-103184Confidential — Home On LLC