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Deal Scout · Opportunity #2
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MARGINAL · 14.7% MARGIN $500K–$1M project

#2 · 496 Davis Love Dr, Chapel Hill, NC 27517 (The Preserve at Jordan Lake)

0.35-ac builder-ready lot, The Preserve at Jordan Lake — public sewer at street, MLS 10174285
List price$149,450
Acreage0.35 acres (156′ × 154′ builder-ready lot)
MLS10174285 (Active — Chatham County, zip 27517)
ZoningR-1 Residential (Chatham County)
UtilitiesPublic water + sewer CONFIRMED at street line (CarusoHomes listing); cable, electric, natural gas available
CommunityThe Preserve at Jordan Lake — Davis Love III golf, pool, tennis, fitness, trails; HOA $800/semi-annually
StrategyBuy builder-ready lot, build 3,200 SF builder-grade home, sell into $285/SF community comps OR build-own at significant discount to market
Out-of-pocket cash$160,723 (equity + closings + carry)
Financed$553,600 construction loan (~77.5% of project)
Modeled3,200 SF, $111/SF builder grade, $285/SF ARV (community median sold $/SF)
Project cost
$714K
Gross revenue
$912,000
Net profit
+$133,837
Margin
14.7%
Max offer (20%)
$104,000
Pro Forma
LineAmount
Gross revenue — sale price (3,200 SF × $285/SF; community median sold $/SF)$912,000
Land acquisition + closing (~2%)($152,439)
Construction — builder cost (3,200 SF × $111 builder grade)($355,200)
Home On builder margin (20% intro rate; standard 30%)($88,800)
Site development / infrastructure — public sewer (incl. 20% margin)($37,500)
Contingency (10% of construction, AT COST — typically returned if unused)($44,400)
Construction loan closing + carry (10% APR on draws, 12-mo build)($35,984)
Selling costs (~7%) — paid at sale closing, not out-of-pocket($63,840)
NET PROFIT TO INVESTOR~$133,837 · 14.7% margin · 83% cash-on-cash

ARV support: The Preserve at Jordan Lake — Redfin/Neighborhoods.com median sale $/SF $256–$285; median home sale ~$940K (trailing 12 months); 7 sales in May 2026 (active market). Modeled at $285/SF (upper documented range). MAO ~$104,000 — ask $149,450 is 43% above MAO, confirming MARGINAL grade for build-invest. Build-own angle: $714K all-in to own a $912K+ resort-community home — instant 22% equity on cost.

Diligence Gates
GO: Public sewer confirmed (rare); R-1 builder-ready lot; established luxury community; HOA amenities support $285+/SF; modest out-of-pocket ($160K); excellent build-own value. VERIFY: HOA min home size, architectural standards, builder approval process, any required construction timeline; flood zone status (Jordan Lake proximity); exact setbacks on 0.35 ac lot; current home inventory in community (7 sales/May 2026 is good but check current absorption). STOP: If HOA imposes mandatory builder that inflates cost; if lot setbacks limit buildable SF; if community absorption stalls below 4 sales/year.
Verdict

MARGINAL for build-invest (14.7% margin, below 20% target), but COMPELLING for build-own. An investor-owner building their primary home here spends $714K all-in to create a $912K home in a resort golf community with confirmed public sewer — instant $198K equity on cost. For pure investment: net $133,837 on $160,723 OOP (83% cash-on-cash) — the return on cash is strong even though the margin % is under target. Consider negotiating to ~$104K (MAO) if lot has sat. At $285/SF this deal pays; watch for the comp ceiling — Preserve avg is $285/SF but some sales reach $300+/SF, which would push margin above 20%.

Deal Scout · 2026-09-25 Home On LLC · NC GC L-103184Confidential — Home On LLC