| Line | Amount |
|---|---|
| Gross revenue — 15 homes × 2,700 SF × $285/SF (conservative Cary comp) | $11,542,500 |
| Land acquisition + closing (~2%) | ($2,040,000) |
| Construction — builder cost (15 × 2,700 SF × $111 builder grade) | ($4,495,500) |
| Home On builder margin (20% intro rate; standard 30%) | ($1,123,875) |
| Site development / infrastructure (15 lots × $65k cost, incl. 20% margin) | ($1,218,750) |
| Contingency (10% of construction, AT COST — typically returned if unused) | ($449,550) |
| Soft costs — design/permits/survey (5% of construction, at cost) | ($224,775) |
| Construction loan closing + carry (10% APR, 12-month build, avg half-drawn) | ($465,682) |
| Selling costs (~7%) — paid at sale closing, not out-of-pocket | ($807,975) |
| NET PROFIT TO INVESTOR | ~$716,393 · 6.2% margin · 24.8% cash-on-cash |
Cary/Apex new construction comps: median Cary 2025 sale $478k; 1444 Old Apex Rd Cary (2025 new construction) $1,199,900 / ~4,258 SF = $282/SF; Apex Friendship Station new construction median ~$209/SF listing price; upper-market Cary new construction $260-$300+/SF. Modeled at $285/SF × 2,700 SF = $769,500/home (mid-quality, standard finishes). At $300/SF: ~10.5% margin. At $315/SF: ~15.4% margin. MAO at 20% investor margin: $512,000 total (all 15 lots) vs. $2,000,000 ask — significant gap; deal only pencils if land price is negotiated down materially OR if premium $315+/SF builds are targeted.
Town of Cary jurisdiction with municipal utilities on a flat 6.97-acre site already planned for 15 lots is a legitimate development opportunity — but at $2M the land price ($133k/lot) compresses investor returns to ~6% margin at $285/SF Cary pricing. The path to GOOD: (1) negotiate hard — 4+ months on market, ask for $700-800k (MAO $512k); or (2) target premium 3,000 SF builds at $310-315/SF ($930k ARV/home), which gets the investor to ~15% margin. At ask price of $2M, investor nets $716,393 (6.2% margin, 24.8% cash-on-cash). Not a GREAT deal at list, but worth a low offer given the quality of the site and jurisdiction.