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Deal Scout · Opportunity #1
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GOOD · 21.5% MARGIN $500K–$1M project

#1 · 0 Carroll St, Wake Forest, NC 27587

0.43 ac · GR3 · City sewer · Downtown Wake Forest · MLS 10128730
List price$120,000
Lot size0.43 ac (18,730 SF)
MLS10128730
ZoningGR3 (General Residential 3) — Wake Forest UDO
UtilitiesCity water and sewer available; manhole noted in listing documents
LocationClose to downtown Wake Forest — shopping, dining, events within walking distance
Days on marketExtended (active per MLS as of scan date)
Modeled3 townhomes × 1,600 SF @ $275/SF = $440k ARV each; builder-grade $111/SF cost
Out-of-pocket cash$267,352 (equity + closings + carry)
Financed$679,365 construction loan (~75% of $905,820 project cost)
Project cost
$944K
Gross revenue
$1,320,000
Net profit
+$283,283
Margin
21.5%
Max offer (20%)
$138,294
Pro Forma
LineAmount
Gross revenue — sale price (3 townhomes × $440,000 comps)$1,320,000
Land acquisition + closing (~2%)($122,400)
Construction — builder cost (4,800 SF × $111 builder grade)($532,800)
Home On builder margin (20% intro rate; standard 30%)($133,200)
Site development — utility hookups + lot prep (incl. 20% margin)($37,500)
Soft costs — design / permits / survey (~5% at cost)($26,640)
Contingency (10% of construction, AT COST — typically returned if unused)($53,280)
Construction loan closing + carry (10% APR on draws, 10-month build)($38,497)
Selling costs (~7%) — paid at sale closing, not out-of-pocket($92,400)
NET PROFIT TO INVESTOR~$283,283 · 21.5% margin · 105.9% cash-on-cash

ARV support: Wake Forest new construction avg $243/SF (Jun 2026, Resideline); downtown townhomes listing $305k–$383k (Magnolia Trace / McKinley Homes 2026); 514 E Juniper Ave infill (2026) $679k. Modeling $275/SF on 1,600 SF = $440k/unit is conservative vs. listed comps. MAO $138,294 — list price $120,000 = $18,294 cushion below MAO at 21.5% margin (GOOD). SFR fallback (1 unit, 2,200 SF × $295/SF = $649k): all-in ~$502k, net ~$101k, 15.6% margin (MARGINAL); MAO for SFR scenario ~$90k (below $120k ask, so single-family only = PASS — make the zoning call first).

Diligence Gates
GO: City water and sewer confirmed at listing (manhole covers documented); downtown location; 18,730 SF lot supports 3-unit townhome footprint at ~6,240 SF/unit. VERIFY (CRITICAL): GR3 density in Wake Forest UDO — call Wake Forest Planning (919-435-9510) to confirm units/acre and whether townhomes are by-right or conditional use. If GR3 = 1 unit only, deal grades PASS (MAO ~$90k vs. $120k ask). Also verify no sewer easement encumbers the buildable envelope (manhole location relative to footprint). STOP: None identified — no known floodplain, wetland, or HOA on this parcel.
Verdict

3-unit scenario: investor nets $283,283 (+21.5% margin, +105.9% cash-on-cash) on $267,352 out-of-pocket — GOOD. The $120,000 list price is $18k below the 20%-threshold MAO, giving real cushion. SFR fallback: nets ~$101k (+15.6%, +78% CoC) on $130k OOP — thin but workable at premium downtown finish. One phone call to Wake Forest Planning determines which scenario is live. If multi-unit is confirmed, this is the most capital-efficient entry in this scan batch.

Deal Scout · 2026-10-05 Home On LLC · NC GC L-103184Confidential — Home On LLC